Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center
This study is a collaboration between the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS), the National Oceanographic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), Deltares (an applied research institute in the Netherlands), and the University of Hawaii (UH). The goals of this study are to:
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At the request of the U.S. Department of Defense (DoD) Strategic Environmental Research and Development Program (SERDP), USGS geologist Curt Storlazzi chaired a session at a conference on issues affecting DoD installations.
Scientists have developed a new model called “BEWARE” (Bayesian Estimator of Wave Attack in Reef Environments) for predicting short-term flooding that threatens property and public safety on coral reef-lined coasts.
Scientists have developed a computer simulation tool to predict short-term flood hazards on coral-reef-lined coasts and to assess longer-term impacts from climate change. The assessments will give input to estimate societal or economic risk and damage from such flooding.
USGS oceanographer Curt Storlazzi served as a shallow-water coral expert in a panel discussion titled “Understanding Coral Reefs through Marine Science and Woolly Sculptures.”
USGS oceanographer Curt Storlazzi briefed DoD, and DOI and its Office of Insular Affairs, on coral reefs and climate change in the Pacific Ocean.
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A Bayesian-Based System to Assess Wave-Driven Flooding Hazards on Coral Reef-Lined Coasts - Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans
BEWARE database: A Bayesian-based system to assess wave-driven flooding hazards on coral reef-lined coasts - U.S. Geological Survey data release
Wave dynamics and flooding on low-lying tropical reef-lined coasts - Coastal Dynamics 2017
Exponential increase in coastal flooding frequency due to sea-level rise - Nature Scientific Reports 7
Observations of wave transformation over a fringing coral reef and the importance of low-frequency waves and offshore water levels to runup, overwash, and coastal flooding - Journal of Geophysical Research-Oceans 121
Identification and classification of very low frequency waves on a coral reef flat - Journal of Geophysical Research: Oceans 121
Changes to extreme wave climates of islands within the Western Tropical Pacific throughout the 21st century under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5, with implications for island vulnerability and sustainability - Global and Planetary Change 141
Many Atolls May be Uninhabitable Within Decades Due to Climate Change - Nature Scientific Reports 5
The influence of coral reefs and climate change on wave-driven flooding of tropical coastlines - Geophysical Research Letters 42
Recommended citation: Laura Zink Torresan, and Curt D. Storlazzi, 2014, “The Impact of Sea-Level Rise and Climate Change on Department of Defense Installations on Atolls in the Pacific Ocean”, US Geological Survey, Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center, DOI: 10.5066/F7QR4V4C