USGS - science for a changing world

Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center

Coastal Processes

CoSMoS: Publications

Photograph of beach in Isla Vista, California, by Alex Snyder, USGS.

Exposed bedrock on the beach during very low (negative) tide at Isla Vista, California. Photo by Alex Snyder, USGS [Larger version]

Public proceedings and presentations

AdaptLA climate change workshop in Los Angeles, CA, October 21, 2015. Climate Change impacts to the Southern California Coast (PDF)

Santa Monica CoSMoS implementation training via WebEx, September 28, 2015. Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) Shoreline Change (PDF)

Santa Monica CoSMoS implementation training via WebEx, September 28, 2015. Forecasting Southern California Cliff Retreat (PDF)

Release of interactive climate-change impacts assessment tool using CoSMoS

Coastal and Estuarine Research Federation (CERF) conference in San Diego, Nov. 5, 2013. The use of Global Climate Models, the Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS), and a user tool to assess the future vulnerability of the California coast (PDF)

Headwaters to Ocean (H2O) conference in San Diego, May 28, 2013. The Application of the Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) in Assessing the Vulnerability of the California Coast to Climate Change (PDF)

California State Assembly, Select Committee on Sea-level Rise and the California Economy, Sacramento, CA, May 2013. Climate change impacts on the California coast (PDF)

NOAA Climate Adaptation training in Torrance, CA, Nov. 2012. Sea Level Rise for the Southern California Region (PDF)

American Shore and Beach Preservation Association (ASBPA) conference in San Diego, Oct. 11, 2012. Past, present and projected changes to the San Francisco Bay Coastal System (PDF)

More about the system and related references


Barnard, P.L., Allan, J., Hansen, J.E., Kaminsky, G.M., Ruggiero, P., and Doria, A., 2011. The impact of the 2009-10 El Niño Modoki on U.S. West Coast beaches. Geophysical Research Letters 38 (L13604), 7 pp.

Barnard, P.L. and Hoover, D., 2010. A seamless, high-resolution, coastal digital elevation model (DEM) for Southern California. U.S. Geological Survey Data Series, DS-487, 8 pp.,

Barnard, P.L., O'Reilly, B., van Ormondt, M., Elias, E., Ruggiero, P., Erikson, L. H., Hapke, C., Collins, B. D., Guza, R. T., Adams, P. N., and Thomas, J., 2009. The framework of a coastal hazards model: a tool for predicting the impact of severe storms. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2009-1073, 19 pp.,

Barnard, P. L., van Ormondt, M., Erikson, L.H., Eshleman, J., Hapke, C., Ruggiero, P., Adams, P. N., and Foxgrover, A. C., 2014. Development of the Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) for predicting the impact of storms on high-energy, active-margin coasts. Natural Hazards, 31 p., doi: 10.1007/s11069-014-1236-y

Dettinger, M.D., Ralph, F.M., Hughes, M., Das, T., Neiman, P., Cox, D., Estes, G., Reynolds, D., Hartman, R., Cayan, D., and Jones, L., 2011. Design and quantification of an extreme winter storm scenario for emergency preparedness and planning exercises in California. Natural Hazards, 27 p., doi: 10.1007/s11069-011-9894-5

Foxgrover, A.C. and Barnard, P.L., 2012. A seamless, high-resolution digital elevation model (DEM) of the North-Central California coast. U.S. Geological Survey Data Series, DS-684, 11 pp.,

Gallien, T.W., Barnard, P.L., van Ormondt, M., Foxgrover, A.C., and Sanders, B.F., 2012. A parcel-scale coastal flood forecasting prototype for a Southern California urbanized embayment. Journal of Coastal Research, Volume 29 (3), p. 642-656, doi: 10.2112/JCOASTRES-D-12-00114.1

Limber, P., Barnard, P.L. and Hapke., C., 2015. Towards projecting the retreat of California’s coastal cliffs during the 21st Century. In: P. Wang, J.D. Rosati and J. Cheng (Eds.), The Proceedings of the Coastal Sediments 2015, World Scientific, 14 pp., doi: 10.1142/9789814689977_0245

O'Neill, A. C., L. H. Erikson, and P. L. Barnard, 2017. Downscaling wind and wavefields for 21st century coastal flood hazard projections in a region of complex terrain. Earth and Space Science, Volume 4, pp. 314–334, doi: 10.1002/2016EA000193

Porter, K., Wein, A., Alpers, C., Baez, A., Barnard, P., Carter, J., Corsi, A., Costner, J., Cox, D., Das, T., Dettinger, M., Done, J., Eadie, C., Eymann, M., Ferris, J., Gunturi, P., Hughes, M., Jarrett, R., Johnson, L., Dam Le-Griffin, H., Mitchell, D., Morman, S., Neiman, P., Olsen, A., Perry, S., Plumlee, G., Ralph, M., Reynolds, D., Rose, A., Schaefer, K., Serakos, J., Siembieda, W., Stock, J., Strong, D., Sue Wing, I., Tang, A., Thomas, P., Topping, K., and Wills, C., 2011. Overview of the ARkStorm scenario: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2010-1312, 183 p. and appendixes,

Rahmstorf, S., 2007. A Semi-Empirical Approach to Projecting Future Sea-Level Rise. Science, Volume 315 (5810) p. 368-370, doi: 10.1126/science.1135456

Vermeer, M., and Rahmstorf, S., 2009. Global sea level linked to global temperature. Proceedings of the National Academy of Science of the United States of America, Volume 106 (51), p. 21527-21532, doi: 10.1073/pnas.0907765106

Vitousek, S. and Barnard, P.L., 2015. A non-linear, implicit one-line model to predict long-term shoreline change. In: P. Wang, J.D. Rosati and J. Cheng (Eds.), The Proceedings of the Coastal Sediments 2015, World Scientific, 14 pp., doi: 10.1142/9789814689977_0215

Vitousek, S., Barnard, P.L., Limber, P., Erikson, L., and Cole, B., 2017. A model integrating longshore and cross-shore processes for predicting long-term shoreline response to climate change. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, Volume 122 (4), pp. 782–806, doi: 10.1002/2016JF004065


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