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Pacific Coastal and Marine Science Center

Coastal Processes

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CoSMoS: Publications

Photograph of beach in Isla Vista, California, by Alex Snyder, USGS.

Exposed bedrock on the beach during very low (negative) tide at Isla Vista, California. Photo by Alex Snyder, USGS [Larger version]

More about the system and related references

CoSMoS FAQs (PDF)

Barnard, P.L. and Hoover, D., 2010. A seamless, high-resolution, coastal digital elevation model (DEM) for Southern California. U.S. Geological Survey Data Series, DS-487, 8 pp., http://pubs.usgs.gov/ds/487/

Barnard, P.L., O'Reilly, B., van Ormondt, M., Elias, E., Ruggiero, P., Erikson, L. H., Hapke, C., Collins, B. D., Guza, R. T., Adams, P. N., and Thomas, J., 2009. The framework of a coastal hazards model: a tool for predicting the impact of severe storms. U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2009-1073, 19 pp., http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2009/1073/

Barnard, P. L., van Ormondt, M., Erikson, L.H., Eshleman, J., Hapke, C., Ruggiero, P., Adams, P. N., and Foxgrover, A. C., 2014. Development of the Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) for predicting the impact of storms on high-energy, active-margin coasts. Natural Hazards, 31 p., doi: 10.1007/s11069-014-1236-y

Danielson, J.J., Poppenga, S.K., Brock, J.C., Evans, G.A., Tyler, D.J., Gesch, D.B., Thatcher, C.A., and Barras, J.A., 2016, Topobathymetric elevation model development using a new methodology—Coastal National Elevation Database: Journal of Coastal Research, SI no. 76, p. 75–89, doi: 10.2112/SI76-008

Erikson, L.H., Hegermiller, C.A., Barnard, P.L., Ruggiero, P. and van Ormondt, M., 2015. Projected wave conditions in the Eastern North Pacific under the influence of two CMIP5 climate scenarios. Ocean Modeling, Volume 96, p. 171-185,  doi: 10.1016/j.ocemod.2015.07.004

Erikson, L.H., Hegermiller, C.E., Barnard, P.L. and Storlazzi, C.D., 2016. Wave projections for United States mainland coasts. U.S. Geological Survey pamphlet to accompany Data Release, 172 pp., doi: 10.5066/F7D798GR

Erikson, L.H., Barnard, P.L., O’Neill, A.C., Vitousek, S., Limber, P., Foxgrover, A.C., Herdman, L.H., and Warrick, J., 2017A. CoSMoS 3.0 Phase 2 Southern California Bight: Summary of data and methods. U.S. Geological Survey, doi: 10.5066/F7T151Q4

Erikson, L.H., O’Neill, A., Barnard, P.L., Vitousek, S., Limber, P., 2017B. Climate change-driven cliff and beach evolution at decadal to centennial time scales. Coastal Dynamics 2017, Paper No. 210, p. 125-136, http://coastaldynamics2017.dk/proceedings.html

Foxgrover, A.C. and Barnard, P.L., 2012. A seamless, high-resolution digital elevation model (DEM) of the North-Central California coast. U.S. Geological Survey Data Series, DS-684, 11 pp., http://pubs.usgs.gov/ds/684/

Hegermiller, C.A., Antolinez, J.A.A., Rueda, A.C., Camus. P., Perez, J., Erikson, L.H., Barnard, P.L. and Mendez, F.J., 2016. A multimodal wave spectrum-based approach for statistical downscaling of local wave climate. Journal of Physical Oceanography, doi: 10.1175/JPO-D-16-0191.1

Hoover, D.J., Odigie, K.O., Swarzenski, P.W. and Barnard, P.L., 2016. Sea level rise and coastal groundwater inundation and shoaling at select sites in California. Journal of Hydrology: Regional Studies, 16 pp., doi: 10.1016/j.ejrh.2015.12.055

Limber, P., Barnard, P.L. and Hapke., C., 2015. Towards projecting the retreat of California’s coastal cliffs during the 21st Century. In: P. Wang, J.D. Rosati and J. Cheng (Eds.), The Proceedings of the Coastal Sediments 2015, World Scientific, 14 pp., doi: 10.1142/9789814689977_0245

O'Neill, A. C., L. H. Erikson, and P. L. Barnard, 2017. Downscaling wind and wavefields for 21st century coastal flood hazard projections in a region of complex terrain. Earth and Space Science, Volume 4, pp. 314–334, doi: 10.1002/2016EA000193

Palaseanu-Lovejoy, M., Danielson, J., Thatcher, C., Foxgrover, A., Barnard, P.L., Brock, J. and Young, A., 2016. Automatic delineation of seacliff limits using Lidar-derived high-resolution DEMs in Southern California. Journal of Coastal Research, Special Issue Volume 76, p. 162-173, doi: 10.2112/SI76-014

Thorne, K.M., MacDonald, G.M., Ambrose, R.F., Buffington, K.J., Freeman, C.M., Janousek, C.N., Brown, L.N., Holmquist, J.R., Gutenspergen, G.R., Powelson, K.W., Barnard, P.L. and Takekawa, J.Y., 2016. Effects of climate change on tidal marshes along a latitudinal gradient in California: U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2016-1125, 75 pp., doi: 10.3133/ofr20161125

Thatcher, C.A., Brock, J.C., Danielson, J.J., Poppenga, S.K., Gesch, D.B., Palaseanu-Lovejoy, M.E., Barras, J.A., Evans, G.A., and Gibbs, A.E., 2016, Creating a Coastal National Elevation Database (CoNED) for science and conservation applications: Journal of Coastal Research, SI no. 76, p. 64–74, at doi: 10.2112/SI76-007

Vitousek, S. and Barnard, P.L., 2015. A non-linear, implicit one-line model to predict long-term shoreline change. In: P. Wang, J.D. Rosati and J. Cheng (Eds.), The Proceedings of the Coastal Sediments 2015, World Scientific, 14 pp., doi: 10.1142/9789814689977_0215

Vitousek, S., Barnard, P.L., Limber, P., Erikson, L., and Cole, B., 2017. A model integrating longshore and cross-shore processes for predicting long-term shoreline response to climate change. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface, Volume 122 (4), pp. 782–806, doi: 10.1002/2016JF004065

Public proceedings and presentations

AdaptLA climate change workshop in Los Angeles, CA, October 21, 2015. Climate Change impacts to the Southern California Coast (PDF)

Santa Monica CoSMoS implementation training via WebEx, September 28, 2015. Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) Shoreline Change (PDF)

Santa Monica CoSMoS implementation training via WebEx, September 28, 2015. Forecasting Southern California Cliff Retreat (PDF)

Release of interactive climate-change impacts assessment tool using CoSMoS
http://soundwaves.usgs.gov/2013/04/research2.html

Coastal and Estuarine Research Federation (CERF) conference in San Diego, Nov. 5, 2013. The use of Global Climate Models, the Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS), and a user tool to assess the future vulnerability of the California coast (PDF)

Headwaters to Ocean (H2O) conference in San Diego, May 28, 2013. The Application of the Coastal Storm Modeling System (CoSMoS) in Assessing the Vulnerability of the California Coast to Climate Change (PDF)

California State Assembly, Select Committee on Sea-level Rise and the California Economy, Sacramento, CA, May 2013. Climate change impacts on the California coast (PDF)

NOAA Climate Adaptation training in Torrance, CA, Nov. 2012. Sea Level Rise for the Southern California Region (PDF)

American Shore and Beach Preservation Association (ASBPA) conference in San Diego, Oct. 11, 2012. Past, present and projected changes to the San Francisco Bay Coastal System (PDF)

Data sets

2014     Our Coast Our Future (OCOF) web tool, serving up CoSMoS flooding projections, Ballard, G., Barnard, P.L., Erikson, L., Fitzgibbon, M., Higgason, K., Psaros, M., Veloz, S. and Wood, J., Petaluma, California, www.pointblue.org/ocof

2015     CoSMoS (Coastal Storm Modeling System) Southern California v3.0 projections - initial November 2015 release, Barnard, P.L., Erikson, L., Foxgrover, A., O'Neill, A. and Herdman, L., U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/5633fea2e4b048076347f1cf

2016     CoSMoS (Coastal Storm Modeling System) Southern California v3.0 projections - initial January 2016 release. Barnard, P.L., Erikson, L., Foxgrover, A., O'Neill, A. and Herdman, L., U.S. Geological Survey data release

2016     Wave and wind projections for United States coasts; mainland, Pacific Islands, and United States-Affiliated Pacific Islands. Erikson, L.H., Storlazzi, C.D., Barnard, P.L., Hegermiller, C.E., and Shope, J.B. U.S. Geological Survey data release, doi: 10.5066/F7D798GR

2016     CoSMoS v3.0 Phase 2 flood-hazard projections: San Diego County, Barnard, P.L., Erikson, L., O'Neill, A., Foxgrover, A. and Herdman, L., U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/5633fea2e4b048076347f1cf  

2016     Nearshore waves in southern California: hindcast, and modeled historical and 21st-century projected time series. Hegermiller, C.A., Erikson, L.H. and Barnard, P.L, U.S. Geological Survey data release, doi: 10.5066/F7N29V2V

2017     CoSMoS v3.0 Phase 2 flood-hazard projections: Los Angeles County, Barnard, P.L., Erikson, L., O'Neill, A., Foxgrover, A. and Herdman, L., U.S. Geological Survey data release, https://www.sciencebase.gov/catalog/item/5633fea2e4b048076347f1cf

 

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